BMC up in AH following earnings 6 of last 6 qtrs widened next trading day

BMC is just favoring a widening trend in its share performance, widening its after-hours earnings-driven movement in the following regular session for 12 quarters and narrowing its post-earnings move six times. The near-term performance favors widening share moves, posting more aggressive, same-direction, next-day moves in six consecutive quarters.
On Aug. 4, 2009, the stock slipped 0.8% despite a Q1 earnings and guidance beat. The loss was a deeper 3.1% the next day.

On May 12, 2009, the stock fell 5.5% after missing with revenue though beating with earnings. Shares fell 7.5% the next day.

On Feb. 4, 2009, BMC advanced 4.6% in after-hours trade after topping earnings expectations and raising its guidance. The stock firmed een higher in the Feb. 5 regular session, rising 8.5% by the closing bell.

On Oct. 30, 2009, the stock gained 1.5% after beating by a nickel with EPS and guiding above the Street. Shares improved slightly the following day and the stock closed up 2.5%.

On July 24, 2008, the stock fell 2.5% during evening trading after BMC after a profit decline and in line guidance were reported. The loss accelerated to 7.4% the next day.

On May 15, 2008, BMC gained 4.2% in evening trade after topping Q4 expectations and setting its guidance above the Street view. BMC firmed higher the next day, closing regular session trade with a 6% rise

10-27-09 RFMD earnings tonight up in AH trading

RFMD firmed to a positive range of 4.13 to 4.20, holding this area through the bulk of its first-half and early second-half of evening trade. More aggressive buy support touched the issue deeper into the second-half, driving RFMD up to a plus-side range of 4.24 to its session high of 4.33.

A pre-market open Wednesday looks to have potential in the high 4.20s, or near 4.30.

Over the long-term, RFMD is favoring a widening trend, with more aggressive next-day trade in 12 of the last 19 quarters. In the near term, it has shown wider moves in the last five consecutive quarters.

The strong near- and long-term widening patterns in place, combined with tonight's conistent upside support, would have us looking at potential long plays on RFMD on Wednesday. Early longs may want to target possible entry points at the 4.20 to 4.24 range, levels where buy liquidity was aggressive tonight and where a potential floor support could form.

More info in this video clip
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vW2OS354dlc

Midnight Trader

10-20-09 Yahoo [YHOO] earnings tonight 4 of 5 narrowing

YHOO has narrowed or reversed its share move between the sessions in all but one quarter over the past year. The longer-term trend favors reversals as well, with 12 narrowing moves between the sessions and nine wider next-day moves after evening earnings releases.

Looking deeper into YHOO's performance data, the stock has seen an after-hours decline in nine of the 21 earnings-driven after-hours moves we've tracked, and five times, 56% of the time, followed that trade with a more aggressive decline in the next day's regular session. On the plus side, longs should be wary of evening upside moves as YHOO has recorded an earnings-driven evening gain in 12 of the 21 quarters we've tracked. It has reversed or narrowed that gain in next-day regular session seven times, about 60% of the time.

On July 21, 2009, the stock fell 2.8% during after-hours trading after a Q2 beat. Shares rebounded to gain 3.7% the next day.

On April 21, 2009, YHOO advanced 5.7% in after-hours trade after reporting results in line to above Street estimates. It lost the bulk of that gain the next day, ending up a mere 0.7%.

On Jan. 27, the stock gained 4.5% after reporting a Q4 beat. Shares expanded that gain to 7.9% the next day.

On Oct. 21, 2008, shares rose 7.7% after an earnings meet. The gain was trimmed to 2.6% by the close of trading the next day.

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INTC giving back AH reaction following earnings

Intel [INTC] +3.8% in AH following earnings

INTC favors a reversal pattern following after-hours earnings events, cutting back its evening trade in next-day action in 15 of its last 22 earnings events, or about 68% of the time. In the near-term, the stock has narrowed its move in the last four consecutive quarters.

Linear tech [LLTC] 8 prior earnings AH reaction widened next day

LLTC is up 1.7% tonight following earnings, if history is any clue this stock will widen tomorrow.

LLTC's session-to-session trading pattern following earnings favors a widening trend, doing so following 13 of its last 18 after-hours earnings releases. The near-term pattern shows wider moves in eight consecutive quarters.
On July 21, 2009, the stock gained 3.8% in evening trading after a Q4 beat and Q1 guidance above the Street view. The gain swelled to 8.2% the next day.

On April 14, 2009, the stock fell 2% in the after-hours session after LLTC beat with Q2 results but guides for Q3 below the Street. Shares fell a deeper 2.8% the next day.

On Jan. 13, 2008, the stock fell 3.5% after Q2 results fell from the year-ago quarter. The following day, the stock fell a deeper 4.1%.

On Oct. 14, 2008, the stock fell 13.5% during extended-hours trading after a Q1 beat but Q2 revenue guidance below Street. The loss widened to 15% the next day.

On July 22, 2008, LLTC shed 2.9% in after-hours trade after beating Q4 earnings expectations and meeting on revenue. The stock dipped further into the red the next day, closing down 4.1% in the July 23 regular session.

On April 15, 2008, LLTC advanced 2.6% in after-hours activity after beating Q3 expectations. The stock chugged higher the following day, rising 4.8% by the close on April 16.

Tuesday Oct 13, 2009 update Intel [INTC] earnings

INTC favors a narrowing pattern following after-hours earnings events, cutting back its evening trade in next-day action in 14 of its last 21 earnings events. In the near-term, the stock has narrowed its move in the last four quarters.

Looking deeper into the performance data, INTC is a stock for longs to be wary of in the off-hours, and perhaps an issue for shorts to line up if it should post an earnings-driven after-hours upside or downside move. INTC has advanced in the after-hours in 11 of the last 21 quarters we've tracked. However, it saw that advance reverse or narrow in next day trade in nine of those quarters.

Also, the stock has recorded 10 quarters in which it posted an earnings-driven after-hours decline. In five of those events it recorded a more aggressive downside move the following regular session - more ammunition for shorts to linger near the stock on a negative evening move.

Tuesday Oct 13, 2009 update Intel [INTC] earnings

INTC favors a narrowing pattern following after-hours earnings events, cutting back its evening trade in next-day action in 14 of its last 21 earnings events. In the near-term, the stock has narrowed its move in the last four quarters.