
The stock demonstrates a long-term pattern of extending session-to-session performance on earnings announcements, posting wider next-day closing levels following 13 out of its last 24 extended-hours earnings events. In the near-term, the stock has moved to favoring a reversal trend, cutting back or narrowing its earnings-driven after-hours moves in the next day's regular session in the last seven consecutive quarters.
Looking deeper into the performance data,
shorts should be interested to know that CSCO has seen a negative post-bell earnings-driven trade in 14 of the 24 quarters we've tracked, and in nine of those downside evening moves the stock has followed that trade with a more aggressive negative run in the next day's regular session. On the long side, CSCO is about evenly mixed, recording 10 earnings-driven upside evening moves in the 24 quarters we've followed - widening those gains four times the next day and recording six other events where the gains were cut back or reversed the following day.
On May 6, 2009, CSCO advanced 2.4% in evening trade after beating Q3 expectations and guiding for a year-over-year decline in Q4 revenue. The stock turned south the following day, ending the May 7 regular session down 3.3%.
On Feb. 4, 2009, CSCO declined 3.6% in after-hours trade after topping expectations and guiding for a decline in revenue. The stock reversed into the green the following day, ending the Feb. 5 regular session up 3.2%.
On Nov. 5, 2008, the stock dropped 5.7% during evening trading after CSCO beat with Q1 results but guided for Q2 revenue decline. The loss was reduced to 2.5% the next day.
On Aug. 5, 2008, CSCO advanced 6.1% in after-hours trade after beating Q4 expectations and reaffirming its growth guidance. It saw that gain narrow the next day, closing the Aug. 6 regular session up 5.6%.
On May 6, 2008, CSCO gained 1.3% in evening trade after topping Q3 Street estimates and setting revenue guidance in a range that straddled expectations. The stock lost its gain the following day, ending the May 7 regular session down 2%.
On Feb. 6, 2008, the stock fell 7.5% during evening trading after CSCO largely meets with Q2 results, but its revenue guidance disappoints. Shares rebounded to close up 1.3% the next day.
On Nov. 7, 2007, CSCO plummeted 9.6% in after-hours trade after topping estimates but also guiding its Q2 revenue view just below the Street view. It narrowed its negative move slightly the following day, closing the Nov. 8 regular session down 9.5%.
On Aug. 7, 2007, CSCO rose 5.7% in night trade after topping Q4 estimates and guiding Q1 sales above Street views. Shares added a bit more the next day to end the regular session up 6.7%.